Quite interesting, the author doesn’t read news as perceives this as nonsense and distorts people’s perceptions of what will occur. Personally have my own reasons not to read news! A black swan is a highly improbable event that catches people unexpectedly, due to psychological biases and is hard to predict. If you are interested in statistics, risk and probabilities worth reading this.

book review
Leadership Lessons with The Beatles: Actionable Tips and Tools for Becoming Better at Leading by Shantha Mohan
Trust your intuition and take action if have sufficient information, remember you are never going to have all the information but be sure to gather